Alumis Inc Stock Performance
| ALMS Stock | 24.51 2.33 8.68% |
Alumis holds a performance score of 19 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.34, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Alumis will likely underperform. Use Alumis skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to analyze future returns on Alumis.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Solid
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Alumis Inc are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak primary indicators, Alumis unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (8.68) | Five Day Return 0.86 | Year To Date Return 173.55 | Ten Year Return 84.29 | All Time Return 84.29 |
1 | Is Alumis Inc. stock a safe buy before earnings - 2025 Biggest Moves High Accuracy Swing Trade Signals - fcp.pa.gov.br | 11/06/2025 |
2 | Acquisition by Akkaraju Srinivas of 102652 shares of Alumis at 6.05 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/18/2025 |
3 | Acquisition by Akkaraju Srinivas of 48537 shares of Alumis at 7.64 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/26/2025 |
4 | Acquisition by Akkaraju Srinivas of 38702 shares of Alumis at 7.64 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/28/2025 |
5 | Acquisition by Akkaraju Srinivas of 86350 shares of Alumis at 7.46 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/01/2025 |
6 | Acquisition by Akkaraju Srinivas of 100000 shares of Alumis at 7.75 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/03/2025 |
7 | Alumis Trading 7.4 percent Higher Still a Buy | 12/18/2025 |
8 | Alumis Envudeucitinib Delivers Leading Skin Clearance Among Next-Generation Oral Plaque Psoriasis Therapies in Phase 3 Program | 01/06/2026 |
9 | Sandisk, Alumis, Micron Technology, Ventyx Biosciences, And Western Digital Why These 5 Stocks Are On Investors Radars Today | 01/07/2026 |
10 | Whats Going On With Alumis Stock Thursday | 01/08/2026 |
11 | Alumis Shares Jump as Envudeucitinib Hits Phase III Endpoints in Psoriasis, NDA Planned for 2026 | 01/09/2026 |
12 | HC Wainwright Co. Hikes Alumis Inc. s Price Target To 40 From 20, Reiterates Buy Rating | 01/15/2026 |
13 | Chardan Capital initiates coverage on Alumis stock with Buy rating - Investing.com | 01/21/2026 |
14 | Chardan Highlights Alumiss Potential After Envudeucitinib Hits All Phase 3 Endpoints in Psoriasis Trials | 01/30/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 47.1 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -113.8 M |
Alumis Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 456.00 in Alumis Inc on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 1,995 from holding Alumis Inc or generate 437.5% return on investment over 90 days. Alumis Inc is currently generating 3.3648% in daily expected returns and assumes 13.4565% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, most equities are less risky than Alumis, and most traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Alumis Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Alumis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 24.51 | 90 days | 24.51 | about 5.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alumis to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.1 (This Alumis Inc probability density function shows the probability of Alumis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.34 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Alumis will likely underperform. In addition to that Alumis Inc has an alpha of 2.99, implying that it can generate a 2.99 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Alumis Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alumis
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alumis Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alumis Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alumis is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alumis' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alumis Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alumis within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.99 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.23 |
Alumis Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alumis for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alumis Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alumis Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Alumis Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Net Loss for the year was (294.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.12 M. | |
| Alumis generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Alumis Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Chardan Highlights Alumiss Potential After Envudeucitinib Hits All Phase 3 Endpoints in Psoriasis Trials |
Alumis Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alumis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alumis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alumis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 288.3 M |
Alumis Fundamentals Growth
Alumis Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Alumis, and Alumis fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Alumis Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.67 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.61 | ||||
| Operating Margin | (53.72) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 3.01 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 117.51 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 8.70 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 138.16 X | ||||
| Gross Profit | 22.12 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (297.6 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (294.23 M) | ||||
| Total Debt | 30.72 M | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 3.69 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (255.08 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (1.97) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 3.06 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 340.99 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (658.55 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 255.28 M | ||||
About Alumis Performance
Assessing Alumis' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Alumis' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Alumis is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.78) | (0.82) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.93) | (0.98) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.78) | (0.82) | |
| Return On Equity | (1.30) | (1.24) |
Things to note about Alumis Inc performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alumis for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Alumis Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alumis Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Alumis Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Net Loss for the year was (294.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.12 M. | |
| Alumis generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Alumis Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Chardan Highlights Alumiss Potential After Envudeucitinib Hits All Phase 3 Endpoints in Psoriasis Trials |
- Analyzing Alumis' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Alumis' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Alumis' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Alumis' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Alumis' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Alumis' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Alumis' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Alumis Stock Analysis
When running Alumis' price analysis, check to measure Alumis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alumis is operating at the current time. Most of Alumis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alumis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alumis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alumis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.